International Visitor Survey methodology

Information about the International Visitor Survey (IVS) methodology, including its purpose, quality targets, population, sampling structure and collection, data processing, analysis and outputs.

International Visitor Survey (IVS) details 

Survey feature

Details

Name

International Visitor Survey (IVS)

Main purpose

Measure total annual expenditure by international visitors in New Zealand

Frequency

Quarterly

Geographic coverage

New Zealand

Survey type

Sample based survey

Top country markets

Australia, China, USA, UK, Germany, Japan

Target relative margins of error (RME)

Overall – 5%, top country markets – 10%

Target sample size

8,900 per year

Expected response rate

About 30%

International Visitor Survey (IVS) purpose

Tourism is New Zealand’s largest export earner, and plays a critical role to New Zealand’s economic success. The International Visitor Survey was developed to provide accurate, quarterly, national information on the expenditure of international visitors to New Zealand, as well as their behaviours and characteristics.

The main purpose of the International Visitor Survey is to measure the total annual expenditure by international visitors in New Zealand .

The survey also:

  • provides data for determining the exports of travel services in the Balance of Payments, and tourism expenditure in the Tourism Satellite Account
  • measures the amount of expenditure per visitor for the top 6 key international markets (Australia, China, USA, UK, Germany and Japan)
  • determines the activities international visitors participate in, the transport and accommodation types used, and places visited
  • provides demographic information about international visitors, their motivation for visiting New Zealand, and their satisfaction with their visit to New Zealand.

Note: 'Expenditure' refers to spend by travellers aged 15+, and excludes individuals whose purpose of visit to New Zealand was to attend a recognised educational institute and are foreign-fee paying students. Expenditure also excludes international airfares.

National Accounts

The IVS is one of New Zealand's Tier 1 statistics, and its result is a key input to the National Accounts.

Stats NZ's website has more information about these:

Regional breakdowns

As the IVS was designed to provide estimates at the national level, regional breakdowns of expenditure can't be produced. The Monthly Regional Tourism Estimates (MTREs) provide monthly estimates of spend by region, regional tourism organisation (RTO) and territorial authority.

Monthly Regional Tourism Estimates (MRTEs)

Who's involved

The following organisations are involved with the IVS:

  • Kantar TNS New Zealand is commissioned for data collection and processing
  • we conduct analysis and dissemination of survey results
  • the survey is carried out with the assistance of the airports, security staff, airlines and Stats NZ.

Survey quality targets

To produce accurate estimates of each of the outputs, the survey was designed to meet a:

  • 5% margin of error for the total annual expenditure
  • 10% relative margin of error (RME) for each of the top 6 country markets.

To achieve these margins of error, a minimum of 8,900 international visitors to New Zealand are sampled per year. The sample also has target allocation sizes for each of the top 6 markets to ensure that there are enough respondents to meet the 10% threshold.

In order to achieve these desired sample sizes, the response rate of eligible visitors must be taken into account. There are a number of reasons the IVS may not be completed by visitors, including:

  • invalid email addresses
  • they don't want to respond (‘non-response’)
  • invalid responses.

The survey is designed assuming a response rate of 30%. To achieve this sample size, details of approximately 30,000 qualifying visitors need to be collected.

Population

We use the World Tourism Organisation definition of an international visitor to define the population of interest for estimating total expenditure of international visitors to New Zealand:

“persons who travel to a country other than that in which they have their residence, but outside their usual environment, for a period not exceeding 12 months and whose main purpose of visit is other than the exercise of an activity remunerated from within the country visited.”

Given this definition, the population excludes:

  • individuals who reside in New Zealand (New Zealand was their last place of residence for 12 months or more)
  • individuals who have been in New Zealand for longer than 365 days
  • those in transit who haven't formally entered New Zealand (they haven't filled out an arrival card and handed it into Customs)
  • individuals who visit New Zealand to serve in the armed forces, for diplomatic or consular business, or aircrew on duty or between flights
  • individuals whose next country of permanent residence is New Zealand.

The target population also excludes:

  • Those aged less than 15 years, because parental consent is required to interview those under 15, and this is not practical at the interview screening stage.
  • Those whose primary purpose of visit were to attend a recognised educational institute and will be foreign fee paying students. The spending of this group is estimated separately as their spending patterns are significantly different from other international visitors, which can create problems in calculating estimates of total spend.

Survey population differs slightly to the target population

The survey population differs from the target population due to legal and administrative reasons. Individuals in the target population not covered by the survey population are those who:

  • have formally entered New Zealand but haven't stayed in New Zealand for at least 1 night during their trip
  • depart New Zealand from a port that isn't Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch or Queenstown international airport — for example, Dunedin, Rotorua, or any seaport
  • depart New Zealand on private aircraft
  • don't understand one of the survey languages (English, Japanese, Chinese, Korean and German) sufficiently to be able to answer the questions
  • don't have an email address to which the survey can be sent.

There are also individuals not in the target population but who are included in the survey population. These include those whose main purpose of visiting New Zealand is to work in New Zealand.

This population is included due to difficulty in distinguishing between:

  • visiting New Zealand for business purposes (included in the target population)
  • visiting New Zealand for the purpose of working for an employer in New Zealand (excluded from the target population).

Sampling structure

The sampling schedule is constructed to include international visitors to New Zealand departing from Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch and Queenstown international airports.

Each day in the quarter is split into time periods:

  • For Auckland, Wellington and Queenstown airports 2 hour time periods are used.
  • For Christchurch airport 4 or 5 hour time periods are used.

The probabilities of a time period being selected are based on the number of flights during that period over the previous year. Time periods with no flights will have no probability of being selected, while those with a high number of flights have a high probability.

Time periods for collecting the sample are then randomly selected, ensuring all international visitors in the survey population have a chance of being selected. The number of people sampled at each airport is proportional to the number of international visitors that depart from each airport in the previous year.

Sample collection

The International Visitor Survey uses a 2-step collection process:

  • The first step involves screening departing visitors during the selected time periods for eligibility, and collecting email addresses:
    • Interviewers approach departees at random to ask them if they would be willing to fill in the survey.
    • Each person approached is provided with a brochure that explains the purpose of the survey and the benefits to New Zealand (the brochure is available in English, Japanese, Chinese, Korean and German).
    • If the person agrees, the interviewer checks they are eligible and obtains a few details, including an email address.
  • The second step, where the bulk of the information is captured, is via an online questionnaire, which is available in English, Japanese, Chinese, Korean and German. A link to the questionnaire is sent to those eligible who have agreed to participate.

International Visitor Survey (IVS) Questionnaire [PDF, 449 KB]

Data processing

All variables in the IVS are subject to editing to ensure validity and consistency in responses. This includes:

  • data cleaning checks performed on the data to identify potentially incorrect data and manually edited if needed
  • adjusting expenditure data to represent expenditure in New Zealand dollars, per person, for travel in New Zealand
  • adjusting expenditure — visitors on packages and tours are unable to remove the airfare from their expenditure, so the airfare component is calculated and removed
  • in addition to airfare cost removal, some packages and tours span more than one country, so the expenditure must be adjusted to remove costs in other countries.

The sample is weighted to represent the survey’s target population

Each respondent within the sample is weighted to represent a fraction of the total number of all international visitors departing New Zealand within the survey’s target population. Survey response weights are adjusted to reflect the unequal probabilities of respondent selection from the composition of the target population, and known discrepancies between the sample and the population definitions.

The weighting process is broken down into 4 stages. The aim of each stage is to adjust for known discrepancies between the sample and the population for:

  • ages groups by airport (stage 1)
  • gender by age groups within country of residence (stage 2)
  • purpose of visit and length of stay bands within country of residence (stage 3)
  • totals for each of the top six country of resident markets (stage 4).

Detected outliers are treated

Outliers are detected using the Banff outlier treatment developed by Statistics Canada. The Banff process identifies cases that are too far from the median value, but allows the user to make an assessment as to how far from the median is acceptable. The identified outliers are then treated to reduce their weighting and impact on the results.

For more information see International Visitor Survey: Changes Introduced for 2014 Quarter 4 [PDF, 349 KB]

Data analysis

Once the data has been processed, it's analysed to calculate statistics and identify trends. This involves looking at the data in the long-term, as well as the short-term, and breaking the data down to look factors such as total spend, average spend, spend per day, length of stay etc. The data can also be split by factors such as country of residence, purpose of visit etc.

Outputs

“The outputs from the analysis are released at 11am on a predetermined date, which can be found on our Data release calendar(external link).

The outputs include:

  • Data releases(external link) including
    • an infographic on the release detailing market trends in the past year
    • a key data table detailing market trends in the past year
    • pivot tables detailing market trends over time
  • performance against pre-determined quality targets
  • microdata.