International tourism forecasts

Our tourism forecasts provide expectations on the future tourism demand in New Zealand, and inform and support planning and investment decisions in the tourism industry. The forecasts are based on econometric modelling, current trends and best available forecasts of international factors, and are developed with input from members of the tourism industry.

In this section

International tourism forecasts tool

We've provided an interactive web tool that you can use to further explore the international forecast results for major markets.

2018-2024 international tourism forecasts

This page has our tourism forecasts for major tourism markets, updated for the 2018-2024 period.

Market forecast summaries

This page contains individual 1-page international tourism forecast summaries for each market, as well as an infographic on arrival and spend forecasts by country.

About the tourism forecasts

Find out more about how we prepare the international tourism forecasts and what they cover.

International forecast data download

As part of our ongoing commitment to supporting tourism research, this section provides the tourism forecasts microdata.

Previous international tourism forecasts

Access previous national and regional international tourism forecasts dating back to 2010.