New Zealand's Energy Outlook: Electricity Insight

This article explores the long-term future for electricity in New Zealand, and presents insights for investors, grid planners, policy makers and consumers.

electricity insight cover

Electricity Insight

This Energy Outlook article explores the long-term future for electricity in New Zealand using scenario analysis. Based on this analysis, we present key insights for investors, grid planners, policy makers and consumers. It presents modelling results to 2040, and is the first part of a series of Energy Outlook Insight publications that will focus on different parts of the energy system.

New Zealand’s Energy Outlook: Electricity Insight [PDF, 1.9 MB]

Supporting data

This article is supported by the detailed data listed below:

Scenario and sensitivity summary: demand, price indicator, emissions [XLSX, 198 KB] 

Mixed Renewables scenario results [XLSX, 227 KB] 

High Geothermal Access scenario results [XLSX, 223 KB] 

Low Cost Fossil Fuels scenario results [XLSX, 225 KB] 

Global Low Carbon scenario results [XLSX, 226 KB] 

Sensitivity to the Mixed Renewables scenario – High Growth [XLSX, 227 KB] 

Sensitivity to the Mixed Renewables scenario – Low Growth [XLSX, 225 KB] 

Sensitivity to the Mixed Renewables scenario – Tiwai Off [XLSX, 226 KB] 

Assumptions Summary [XLSX, 253 KB] 

See Publications and technical papers for more information on our modelling methodology.

For more information

For more information, or if you need assistance, contact us at energyinfo@mbie.govt.nz